Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.841633 0.946512 1.060786 1.194766 1.347832 1.517574 1.720517
2025-01-26 0.686762 0.830340 0.999831 1.215650 1.484535 1.810280 2.237498
2025-02-02 0.603911 0.765781 0.967279 1.238489 1.596940 2.058566 2.704674
2025-02-09 0.539734 0.711158 0.933914 1.247653 1.683056 2.273163 3.145810
2025-02-16 0.489018 0.665708 0.903891 1.252741 1.757863 2.473849 3.585615
2025-02-23 0.453715 0.635988 0.889950 1.275347 1.855469 2.712451 4.105006
2025-03-02 0.408806 0.587497 0.843596 1.244285 1.868046 2.823330 4.438981
2025-03-09 0.385544 0.567687 0.836043 1.268713 1.965061 3.070553 5.016975
2025-03-16 0.356163 0.535748 0.806856 1.255770 2.000049 3.220423 5.448802
2025-03-23 0.336124 0.516147 0.794402 1.267273 2.074424 3.440697 6.027341
2025-03-30 0.312013 0.488007 0.765824 1.249076 2.095887 3.571287 6.458336
2025-04-06 0.292257 0.465201 0.743763 1.239294 2.129940 3.725885 6.951404
2025-04-13 0.265636 0.429546 0.698393 1.186434 2.084074 3.734306 7.170081
2025-04-20 0.254552 0.419052 0.694497 1.206226 2.172672 4.002717 7.946573
2025-04-27 0.244951 0.410239 0.692564 1.228963 2.268414 4.294457 8.811577
2025-05-04 0.233981 0.398162 0.683826 1.238039 2.338242 4.541959 9.616170
2025-05-11 0.223327 0.385823 0.673569 1.243084 2.400140 4.779457 10.432089
2025-05-18 0.215969 0.378853 0.672462 1.265496 2.499145 5.105291 11.500043
2025-05-25 0.202034 0.358851 0.645663 1.234700 2.484119 5.183147 11.986323
2025-06-01 0.196220 0.353562 0.646204 1.258919 2.588320 5.535982 13.204418
2025-06-08 0.186292 0.339811 0.629475 1.246087 2.610315 5.704290 13.978125
2025-06-15 0.179903 0.332417 0.624574 1.257491 2.687125 6.008488 15.156726
2025-06-22 0.170677 0.318909 0.606611 1.239450 2.695003 6.148730 15.912491